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December 6, 2012

CPA Poll Finds Tepid Economic Outlook

A new survey of CPAs commissioned by the New Jersey Society of Certified Public Accountants (NJSCPA) and the Pennsylvania Institute of Certified Public Accountants (PICPA) finds widespread pessimism among respondents when it comes to economic forecasts. Many CPA respondents predict conditions over the next year will be “about the same as they were one year ago.” The survey looks at economic trends both statewide and nationwide. Some of the major findings include:

  • 80 percent feel NJ’s business climate is fair or poor.
  • 78 percent feel NJ’s tax structure is worse than other states.
  • 58 percent feel NJ’s business climate hinders economic growth.
  • 30 percent feel health care reform is the largest area of concern with regard to operating a business in NJ.

New Jersey CPAs reported that fiscal issues such as the global economy (93 percent) federal deficit (83 percent), impeding fiscal cliff (80 percent), entitlements (77 percent) and federal regulations (75 percent) negatively affected national economic growth over the last year.

New Jersey respondents gave feedback on a variety of economic remedies both nationally:  deficit reduction (45 percent); and statewide: reduce property taxes (44 percent), reduce red tape (40 percent) and consolidate school districts (29 percent).  

When asked about organizational and client growth, CPAs from both states agreed that over the past year their organizations or their clients’ organizations have not increased their workforce and don’t expect to do so in 2013. CPAs in both states do, however, predict marginal increases in firm/company revenues in the coming year.

On a positive note, the survey found that 40 percent of NJ respondents expect their clients’ revenues to increase over the next year, and 58 percent feel that the business climate in NJ has moderately or greatly improved since Governor Chris Christie took office.

“While there are glimmers of hope, this survey shows there’s still a lot of work to be done,” said NJSCPA CEO and Executive Director Ralph Albert Thomas. “A large part of the negative numbers is due to uncertainty with regard to the tough fiscal policy decisions that need to be made.” 

The Franklin and Marshall College Center for Opinion Research University, on behalf of the NJSCPA and PICPA, surveyed high-level CPAs in public accounting, industry, government, nonprofit and academia in New Jersey and Pennsylvania during the months of September and October 2012. There were 718 respondents for Pennsylvania and 489 for New Jersey.


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